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Moving averages have long been used by investors and traders as an aid to analyzing price trends. Moving averages have the attribute of being able to smooth price fluctuations, making it easier to follow underlying trends with the naked eye. Used in conjunction with othertechnical indicators, or even with other averages,moving averages provide a reliable tool for beating the market a fair percentage of the time—once you know how to use them properly. A growing number of traders are becoming aware of the tremendous profit potential that comes with integrating moving averages with a favored trading system. Books have already been written to teach the profitable application of moving averages in trading the markets, yet most fall short of this goal.
One reason for this failing is that a basic working knowledge of moving averages is already common among countless thousands of traders. As any
good trader knows, once a particular trading system becomes the common knowledge of the vast multitudes, it tends to lose its utility and reliability. Few books on moving averages have gone beyond the
plebeian in their attempts to explain how moving averages can be used to a trader’s advantage. Another problem with books that have addressed this subject is that they frequently err on the side of complexity. Experienced traders are aware that the more complex a given trading system is, the less often it provides useful trading signals. In the marketplace, as in most of life itself, simplicity is the essence of success. It is our philosophy, based on many years of study and real-time experience, that the more simple a trading method is, the more likely it will prove beneficial to the trader, and we have kept this principle in mind in producing this book. One little known and widely overlooked aspect of moving averages is that they work best when used
in conjunction with cycle analysis. The trader must have at least a basic understanding of market cycles in order to consistently use moving average analysis to his or her advantage. So crucial is cycle theory to the profitable employment of moving averages
to any form of trading, that we felt compelled to include two chapters in this book dedicated to cycleanalysis when used in conjunction with moving averages. Chapter 6, alone, should be worth the price of this book for the serious trader. It is not within the scope of this book to focus exclusively on moving averages with reference to market cycles; nevertheless, a broad understanding of this application is necessary and should always be borne in mind when conducting moving average analysis. After all, moving averages are, essentially, smoothed out pricelines, which highlight the major trends and cycles that govern the underlying security. Aside from the cyclical element of moving average analysis, we also examine the more traditional forms of moving averages when used in conjunction with price, volume, and various technical indicators. You will find throughout this work a number of “real-market” charts, supplied by BigCharts.com,
which will greatly add to your understanding and comprehension of the principles this book aims to teach. Nothing but experience can ultimately assure consistent success in the markets, but the studies and examples included in this book will further your understanding of how moving averages, once properly implemented, will greatly enhance your trading success.